tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 88%

  1. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW +1 day
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 178 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 44mSEA 23:59 to DTW 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.