tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:04 MSP → 08:47 DTW +1 day
    DL 1461 · Delta · 1h 43m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip5h 48mSEA 23:59 to DTW 08:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.