tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 86%

  1. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 MSP → 08:27 LAS +1 day
    DL 2261 · Delta · 3h 22m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 28mSEA 23:59 to LAS 08:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.