tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:20 MSP → 11:31 TPA +1 day
    DL 2301 · Delta · 3h 11m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 32mSEA 23:59 to TPA 11:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.