tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:55 MSP → 10:38 JFK +1 day
    DL 2969 · Delta · 2h 43m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 39mSEA 23:59 to JFK 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.