tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → St Louis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 89%

  1. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:45 MSP → 09:15 STL +1 day
    WN 2973 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 16mSEA 23:59 to STL 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.