tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 11:00 CVG → 11:57 MSP
    DL 954 · Delta · 1h 57m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 MSP → 16:09 PHX
    DL 2284 · Delta · 3h 21m · 82% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 15mCVG 11:00 to PHX 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.