tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Charleston via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 18:00 LGA → 21:10 ATL
    DL 964 · Delta · 3h 10m · 71% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:06 ATL → 23:22 CHS
    DL 2525 · Delta · 1h 15m · 65% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 21mLGA 18:00 to CHS 23:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.