tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Grand Rapids via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 18:00 LGA → 21:10 ATL
    DL 964 · Delta · 3h 10m · 71% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 ATL → 23:54 GRR
    DL 2865 · Delta · 1h 56m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 55mLGA 18:00 to GRR 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.