tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:25 DTW → 09:26 ATL
    DL 965 · Delta · 2h 01m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ATL → 11:53 SDF
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 28mDTW 07:25 to SDF 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.