tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New Orleans via Los Angeles: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:42 ORD → 17:14 LAX
    DL 967 · Delta · 4h 32m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 LAX → 23:46 MSY
    DL 2154 · Delta · 3h 46m · 73% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 04mORD 14:42 to MSY 23:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.