tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Pensacola via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 17:00 LGA → 19:50 ATL
    DL 968 · Delta · 2h 50m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:39 ATL → 21:54 PNS
    DL 3086 · Delta · 1h 14m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 53mLGA 17:00 to PNS 21:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.