tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Panama City Beach via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 17:00 LGA → 19:50 ATL
    DL 968 · Delta · 2h 50m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:27 ATL → 23:37 ECP
    DL 3131 · Delta · 1h 12m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 39mLGA 17:00 to ECP 23:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.