tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tulsa via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 16:00 LGA → 18:48 ATL
    DL 969 · Delta · 2h 48m · 70% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:18 ATL → 23:19 TUL
    DL 2043 · Delta · 2h 04m · 85% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 22mLGA 16:00 to TUL 23:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.