tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Columbia via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:00 LGA → 18:48 ATL
    DL 969 · Delta · 2h 48m · 70% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 ATL → 23:46 CAE
    DL 3029 · Delta · 1h 05m · 80% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 188 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 46mLGA 16:00 to CAE 23:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.