tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 16:00 LGA → 18:48 ATL
    DL 969 · Delta · 2h 48m · 70% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:53 ATL → 23:54 TYS
    DL 3072 · Delta · 1h 01m · 81% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 200 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 05m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 54mLGA 16:00 to TYS 23:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.