tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Asheville via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 16:00 LGA → 18:48 ATL
    DL 969 · Delta · 2h 48m · 70% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:46 ATL → 23:46 AVL
    DL 3116 · Delta · 1h 00m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 193 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 46mLGA 16:00 to AVL 23:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.