tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Myrtle Beach via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:59 LGA → 21:40 ATL
    DL 970 · Delta · 2h 41m · 66% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 23:55 MYR
    DL 3074 · Delta · 1h 19m · 79% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 00mLGA 18:59 to MYR 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.