tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Panama City Beach via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 18:59 LGA → 21:40 ATL
    DL 970 · Delta · 2h 41m · 66% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:27 ATL → 23:37 ECP
    DL 3131 · Delta · 1h 12m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 40mLGA 18:59 to ECP 23:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.