tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 19:15 BOS → 22:19 ATL
    DL 973 · Delta · 3h 04m · 81% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 ATL → 00:42 RDU +1 day
    DL 2938 · Delta · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 27mBOS 19:15 to RDU 00:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.