tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 15:00 LGA → 17:53 ATL
    DL 974 · Delta · 2h 53m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 ATL → 21:49 TYS
    DL 5224 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 05m · 67% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 49mLGA 15:00 to TYS 21:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.