tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 15:00 LGA → 17:53 ATL
    DL 974 · Delta · 2h 53m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:46 ATL → 23:57 ROC
    DL 2472 · Delta · 2h 11m · 75% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 188 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 57mLGA 15:00 to ROC 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.