tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Wilmington via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 15:00 LGA → 17:53 ATL
    DL 974 · Delta · 2h 53m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:56 ILM
    DL 3070 · Delta · 1h 35m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 55mLGA 15:00 to ILM 22:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.