tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 15:00 LGA → 17:53 ATL
    DL 974 · Delta · 2h 53m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 ATL → 22:28 SNA
    DL 826 · Delta · 4h 37m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 28mLGA 15:00 to SNA 22:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.