tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Valparaiso via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 15:00 LGA → 17:53 ATL
    DL 974 · Delta · 2h 53m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 ATL → 20:50 VPS
    DL 882 · Delta · 1h 15m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 50mLGA 15:00 to VPS 20:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.