tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Columbus via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:59 LGA → 16:30 ATL
    DL 988 · Delta · 2h 30m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 ATL → 19:03 CMH
    DL 2786 · Delta · 1h 38m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 04mLGA 13:59 to CMH 19:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.