tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Valparaiso via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 13:59 LGA → 16:30 ATL
    DL 988 · Delta · 2h 30m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 ATL → 20:50 VPS
    DL 882 · Delta · 1h 15m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 200 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 05m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 51mLGA 13:59 to VPS 20:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.