tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tulsa via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:00 LGA → 12:27 ATL
    DL 989 · Delta · 2h 27m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 34m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:01 ATL → 18:04 TUL
    DL 2837 · Delta · 2h 03m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 229 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 34m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip9h 04mLGA 10:00 to TUL 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.