tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 10:00 LGA → 12:27 ATL
    DL 989 · Delta · 2h 27m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 ATL → 17:31 SFO
    DL 823 · Delta · 5h 02m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip10h 37mLGA 10:00 to SFO 17:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.