tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Asheville via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 09:00 LGA → 11:28 ATL
    DL 992 · Delta · 2h 28m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:16 ATL → 13:14 AVL
    DL 1182 · Delta · 56m · 87% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 12mLGA 09:00 to AVL 13:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.