tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:00 LGA → 11:28 ATL
    DL 992 · Delta · 2h 28m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 ATL → 14:13 TPA
    DL 1525 · Delta · 1h 26m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 12mLGA 09:00 to TPA 14:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.