tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 82%

  1. 09:00 LGA → 11:28 ATL
    DL 992 · Delta · 2h 28m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 13:24 BHM
    DL 3012 · Delta · 54m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 24mLGA 09:00 to BHM 13:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.