tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Wilmington via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 09:00 LGA → 11:28 ATL
    DL 992 · Delta · 2h 28m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 ATL → 13:43 ILM
    DL 731 · Delta · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 43mLGA 09:00 to ILM 13:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.