tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:59 LGA → 13:20 ATL
    DL 993 · Delta · 2h 21m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:38 ATL → 17:55 DAL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 17m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 56mLGA 10:59 to DAL 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.