tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 10:59 LGA → 13:20 ATL
    DL 993 · Delta · 2h 21m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 234 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 39m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 25mLGA 10:59 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.