tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 10:59 LGA → 13:20 ATL
    DL 993 · Delta · 2h 21m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 ATL → 18:52 SRQ
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 54mLGA 10:59 to SRQ 18:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.