tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:59 LGA → 13:20 ATL
    DL 993 · Delta · 2h 21m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 ATL → 17:26 RIC
    DL 3152 · Delta · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 27mLGA 10:59 to RIC 17:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.