Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:59 LGA → 13:20 ATL
    DL 993 · Delta · 2h 21m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:07 ATL → 15:31 SDF
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 32mLGA 10:59 to SDF 15:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.