tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Jacksonville via New York: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:00 ATL → 19:20 LGA
    DL 997 · Delta · 2h 20m · 68% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 LGA → 23:11 JAX
    DL 5791 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 53m · 67% on time, 10.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (10.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 08mATL 17:00 to JAX 23:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.