tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Huntsville via Detroit: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:00 LGA → 19:15 DTW
    DL 999 · Delta · 2h 15m · 74% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 DTW → 21:11 HSV
    DL 5386 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 59m · 65% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 11mLGA 17:00 to HSV 21:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.