tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Traverse City via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 17:00 LGA → 19:15 DTW
    DL 999 · Delta · 2h 15m · 74% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:51 DTW → 22:42 TVC
    DL 2424 · Delta · 1h 07m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 58mLGA 17:00 to TVC 22:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.