tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Traverse City via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:05 ATL → 07:19 PHL
    F9 1004 · Frontier · 2h 10m · 71% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:47 TVC
    AA 5480 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 17m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 42mATL 05:05 to TVC 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.