tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Columbia via Philadelphia: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:05 ATL → 07:19 PHL
    F9 1004 · Frontier · 2h 10m · 71% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 PHL → 12:06 CAE
    AA 6094 · American, flown by Piedmont · 2h 06m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 01mATL 05:05 to CAE 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.