tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Nashville via Orlando: arrives on time 74%

  1. 00:20 PHX → 07:37 MCO
    F9 1086 · Frontier · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 MCO → 10:17 BNA
    F9 1285 · Frontier · 2h 12m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 57mPHX 00:20 to BNA 10:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.