tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New Orleans via Orlando: arrives on time 82%

  1. 00:20 PHX → 07:37 MCO
    F9 1086 · Frontier · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:57 MCO → 11:51 MSY
    F9 3553 · Frontier · 1h 54m · 88% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 31mPHX 00:20 to MSY 11:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.