tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Cleveland via Orlando: arrives on time 88%

  1. 00:20 PHX → 07:37 MCO
    F9 1086 · Frontier · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:35 MCO → 14:06 CLE
    UA 486 · United · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 46mPHX 00:20 to CLE 14:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.