tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Indianapolis via Orlando: arrives on time 85%

  1. 00:20 PHX → 07:37 MCO
    F9 1086 · Frontier · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:50 MCO → 12:12 IND
    WN 4655 · Southwest · 2h 22m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 52mPHX 00:20 to IND 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.