tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Santa Rosa via Portland: arrives on time 85%

  1. 15:38 LAS → 18:04 PDX
    F9 1105 · Frontier · 2h 25m · 79% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:30 STS
    AS 3115 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 52mLAS 15:38 to STS 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.