tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 06:45 LAS → 13:55 ATL
    F9 1116 · Frontier · 4h 10m · 81% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:42 ATL → 16:26 MSY
    F9 1371 · Frontier · 1h 43m · 60% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 40mLAS 06:45 to MSY 16:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.