tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Rosa via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 11:03 SEA → 14:01 LAX
    F9 1178 · Frontier · 2h 58m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:00 LAX → 18:43 STS
    AS 3476 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 40mSEA 11:03 to STS 18:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.